Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.050512 0.054901 0.059349 0.064188 0.069296 0.074520 0.080260
2025-05-25 0.042177 0.048482 0.055113 0.062579 0.070724 0.079312 0.089027
2025-06-01 0.036233 0.043820 0.052067 0.061635 0.072367 0.083972 0.097410
2025-06-08 0.033174 0.041916 0.051690 0.063314 0.076650 0.091363 0.108711
2025-06-15 0.030384 0.039988 0.051005 0.064405 0.080085 0.097687 0.118767
2025-06-22 0.027846 0.038089 0.050127 0.065072 0.082876 0.103172 0.127812
2025-06-29 0.025393 0.036066 0.048906 0.065158 0.084846 0.107607 0.135586
2025-07-06 0.024164 0.035441 0.049277 0.067073 0.088929 0.114486 0.146214
2025-07-13 0.021959 0.033398 0.047743 0.066525 0.089935 0.117648 0.152417
2025-07-20 0.020321 0.031968 0.046874 0.066704 0.091752 0.121728 0.159683
2025-07-27 0.019196 0.031137 0.046700 0.067700 0.094534 0.126951 0.168324
2025-08-03 0.018427 0.030733 0.047035 0.069313 0.098072 0.133099 0.178112
2025-08-10 0.016108 0.028040 0.044245 0.066813 0.096389 0.132846 0.180166
2025-08-17 0.014711 0.026574 0.043032 0.066320 0.097224 0.135695 0.186037
2025-08-24 0.013455 0.025227 0.041909 0.065882 0.098083 0.138548 0.191910
2025-08-31 0.013083 0.025190 0.042605 0.067904 0.102171 0.145511 0.202966
2025-09-07 0.012511 0.024800 0.042767 0.069174 0.105262 0.151219 0.212480
2025-09-14 0.011833 0.024195 0.042581 0.069934 0.107660 0.156042 0.220900
2025-09-21 0.011029 0.023329 0.041965 0.070053 0.109171 0.159710 0.227862
2025-09-28 0.010790 0.023377 0.042697 0.072080 0.113278 0.166771 0.239198
2025-10-05 0.009905 0.022274 0.041644 0.071510 0.113808 0.169148 0.244526
2025-10-12 0.009271 0.021557 0.041142 0.071702 0.115364 0.172862 0.251581
2025-10-19 0.008881 0.021240 0.041237 0.072750 0.118099 0.178135 0.260673